Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on offensive-zone draws (55% H2H, 11 meetings). Miller wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.8% vs Beniers 46.7% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Beniers leads 19-17 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Beniers 62.0%
Defensive zone
Beniers 62.5%
Neutral zone
Beniers 63.1%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 62.6%
37.4%
62.6%
Miller
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
19
(36 meetings)
17
19
Miller
Beniers
Last 10: Miller 4-6 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
5
6
Miller
Beniers
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
6
7
Miller
Beniers
13 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
Miller
Beniers
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (6,648)
46.6% (3,796)
+8.6%
Power Play
57.9% (1,285)
47.8% (360)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (913)
41.4% (111)
+6.8%
On power play, Miller has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Miller is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,907).
Miller shoots left. Beniers is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,820).
Home / Away
Miller
Beniers
Home
55.9% (4,578)
48.9% (2,195)
Away
53.8% (4,268)
44.2% (2,072)
By Period
Miller
Beniers
P1
54.7%
47.4%
P2
55.6%
47.1%
P3
54.0%
45.7%
OT
62.3%
34.1%
Final 5 min
55.2%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.9%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 18:01 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 05:58 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 18:09 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 2, 2025 | OT | 00:36 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 13:43 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 19:10 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 12:19 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 05:40 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 03:29 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 15:14 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 00:53 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 13:58 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 15:43 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 09:04 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 04:57 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 01:29 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 17:48 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 11:33 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 10:52 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |