Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Miller wins 55.8% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.8% vs Carpenter 48.5% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 16-8 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 98.7%
Defensive zone
Miller 76.7%
Neutral zone
Miller 86.2%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 87.4%
87.4%
12.6%
Miller
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
8
(24 meetings)
16
8
Miller
Carpenter
Last 10: Miller 6-4 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
9
0
Miller
Carpenter
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
4
5
Miller
Carpenter
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Miller
Carpenter
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (6,648)
49.6% (2,027)
+5.6%
Power Play
57.9% (1,285)
41.5% (41)
+16.4%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (913)
43.9% (467)
+4.3%
On power play, Miller has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Miller is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,937).
Miller shoots left. Carpenter is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,840).
Home / Away
Miller
Carpenter
Home
55.9% (4,578)
51.2% (1,290)
Away
53.8% (4,268)
45.5% (1,245)
By Period
Miller
Carpenter
P1
54.7%
49.6%
P2
55.6%
47.7%
P3
54.0%
48.0%
OT
62.3%
55.6%
Final 5 min
55.2%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.9%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 03:31 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 02:21 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 05:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 01:09 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 3 | 17:20 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 3 | 16:53 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 2 | 05:45 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 1 | 15:12 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 1 | 12:21 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 1 | 15:30 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 14:53 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 12, 2020 | 3 | 14:27 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 12, 2020 | 3 | 05:39 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 12, 2020 | 2 | 10:44 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 3 | 05:00 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 1 | 17:19 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 1 | 10:21 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 26, 2018 | 2 | 03:08 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 26, 2018 | 1 | 16:38 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |