Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Miller wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 53.8% vs Carpenter 51.2% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 85.8%
Defensive zone
Miller 54.9%
Neutral zone
Miller 63.9%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 76.5%
76.5%
23.5%
Miller
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Miller
Carpenter
Last 8: Miller 5-3 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
5
0
Miller
Carpenter
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
1
Miller
Carpenter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
2
Miller
Carpenter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (933)
53.2% (299)
+2.3%
Power Play
61.6% (73)
33.3% (3)
+28.3%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (227)
46.5% (86)
-0.7%
On power play, Miller has a +28.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Miller is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (464).
Miller shoots left. Carpenter is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Miller
Carpenter
Home
53.5% (578)
54.6% (207)
Away
54.7% (655)
48.1% (181)
By Period
Miller
Carpenter
P1
58.3%
52.3%
P2
53.5%
51.5%
P3
50.1%
50.8%
Final 5 min
54.9%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.1%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2022 | 3 | 17:20 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 3 | 16:53 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 2 | 05:45 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 1 | 15:12 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 1 | 12:21 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 1 | 15:30 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 14:53 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |