Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Miller wins 61.4% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 55.9% vs Carpenter 48.2% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 91.0%
Defensive zone
Miller 57.3%
Neutral zone
Miller 66.2%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 67.9%
67.9%
32.1%
Miller
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Miller
Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Carpenter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Miller
Carpenter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Carpenter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,033)
48.8% (404)
+7.5%
Power Play
62.5% (253)
100.0% (1)
-37.5%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (175)
43.6% (101)
+3.8%
On power play, Carpenter has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Miller is 61.4% vs right-shot opponents (458).
Miller shoots left. Carpenter is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (366).
Home / Away
Miller
Carpenter
Home
58.6% (734)
48.9% (274)
Away
54.1% (727)
46.6% (232)
By Period
Miller
Carpenter
P1
57.1%
51.9%
P2
57.0%
49.4%
P3
54.7%
41.8%
OT
62.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
56.3%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 03:31 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 02:21 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 05:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 01:09 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |