Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Miller wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.5% vs Carpenter 52.2% (+1.0%)
Offensive zone
Carpenter 57.2%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 54.3%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 54.9%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Miller
Carpenter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (589)
53.1% (113)
+2.6%
Power Play
60.9% (138)
100.0% (1)
-39.1%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (159)
60.0% (10)
-12.8%
On power play, Carpenter has a +39.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Miller is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (304).
Miller shoots left. Carpenter is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Miller
Carpenter
Home
56.1% (440)
58.5% (65)
Away
53.8% (446)
49.2% (59)
By Period
Miller
Carpenter
P1
52.3%
65.8%
P2
54.7%
50.0%
P3
57.2%
47.9%
Final 5 min
54.2%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
55.0%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
54.0%