Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +16.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Miller wins 60.6% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 58.1% vs Carpenter 44.1% (+16.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 97.5%
Defensive zone
Miller 70.2%
Neutral zone
Miller 89.7%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 79.3%
79.3%
20.7%
Miller
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Miller
Carpenter
Last 6: Miller 5-1 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
0
Miller
Carpenter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
3
1
Miller
Carpenter
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (618)
46.2% (474)
+12.2%
Power Play
69.1% (55)
28.6% (7)
+40.5%
Penalty Kill
57.8% (45)
32.6% (129)
+25.2%
On power play, Miller has a +40.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Miller is 60.6% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Miller shoots left. Carpenter is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Miller
Carpenter
Home
58.7% (390)
46.5% (303)
Away
59.8% (328)
39.7% (307)
By Period
Miller
Carpenter
P1
59.5%
44.2%
P2
61.6%
40.4%
P3
56.4%
44.2%
OT
46.2%
57.1%
Final 5 min
64.8%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.2%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2020 | 3 | 14:27 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 12, 2020 | 3 | 05:39 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 12, 2020 | 2 | 10:44 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 3 | 05:00 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 1 | 17:19 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 1 | 10:21 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |