Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Miller wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 53.8% vs Hartman 45.3% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 58.5%
Defensive zone
Miller 86.8%
Neutral zone
Miller 78.8%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 73.9%
73.9%
26.1%
Miller
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Miller
Hartman
Last 10: Miller 6-4 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
3
Miller
Hartman
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
3
1
Miller
Hartman
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
2
0
Miller
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (933)
44.8% (936)
+10.7%
Power Play
61.6% (73)
49.4% (154)
+12.2%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (227)
33.3% (54)
+12.5%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Miller is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (464).
Miller shoots left. Hartman is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Home / Away
Miller
Hartman
Home
53.5% (578)
47.4% (568)
Away
54.7% (655)
42.4% (576)
By Period
Miller
Hartman
P1
58.3%
47.2%
P2
53.5%
43.4%
P3
50.1%
43.8%
OT
70.6%
53.8%
Final 5 min
54.9%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.1%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 19:14 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 13:28 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 09:22 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 1 | 06:21 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 09:24 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 3 | 18:01 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 3 | 15:53 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 3 | 12:54 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 3 | 01:58 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 1 | 11:34 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |