Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 18 meetings). Miller wins 55.8% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.8% vs Hartman 45.3% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 26-19 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 87.7%
Defensive zone
Miller 80.7%
Neutral zone
Miller 83.9%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 84.0%
84.0%
16.0%
Miller
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
19
(45 meetings)
26
19
Miller
Hartman
Last 10: Miller 8-2 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
7
9
Miller
Hartman
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
14
4
Miller
Hartman
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
5
6
Miller
Hartman
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (6,648)
45.2% (4,235)
+10.0%
Power Play
57.9% (1,285)
47.4% (443)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (913)
42.4% (262)
+5.8%
On power play, Miller has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Miller is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,937).
Miller shoots left. Hartman is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,559).
Home / Away
Miller
Hartman
Home
55.9% (4,578)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
53.8% (4,268)
43.6% (2,351)
By Period
Miller
Hartman
P1
54.7%
46.0%
P2
55.6%
42.9%
P3
54.0%
46.8%
OT
62.3%
53.8%
Final 5 min
55.2%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.9%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 17:29 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 17:21 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 17:09 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 11:13 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 14:09 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 08:46 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 04:19 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 15:55 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 09:31 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 06:22 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 06:16 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 18:14 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 07:23 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 07:01 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 02:47 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 2 | 16:10 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 2 | 12:01 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 2 | 11:50 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 2 | 11:45 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 1 | 15:39 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |