Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Miller wins 60.2% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 57.6% vs Hartman 48.1% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 66.8%
Defensive zone
Hartman 67.9%
Neutral zone
Hartman 69.2%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 67.8%
32.2%
67.8%
Miller
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Miller
Hartman
Last 8: Miller 3-5 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
3
Miller
Hartman
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
2
Miller
Hartman
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (823)
48.1% (520)
+10.1%
Power Play
58.2% (165)
44.7% (47)
+13.5%
Penalty Kill
58.9% (90)
47.8% (23)
+11.1%
On power play, Miller has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Miller is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Miller shoots left. Hartman is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Miller
Hartman
Home
59.1% (558)
48.3% (360)
Away
57.3% (520)
47.0% (230)
By Period
Miller
Hartman
P1
60.7%
48.5%
P2
57.5%
45.2%
P3
56.1%
49.6%
OT
73.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.8%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
58.3%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2025 | 2 | 16:10 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 2 | 12:01 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 2 | 11:50 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 2 | 11:45 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 1 | 15:39 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 1 | 15:32 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 15:22 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 06:38 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |