Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Miller wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 55.9% vs Poehling 49.2% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Poehling leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 65.5%
Defensive zone
Poehling 63.7%
Neutral zone
Poehling 56.5%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Miller
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Miller
Poehling
Last 10: Miller 5-5 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
1
Miller
Poehling
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
2
Miller
Poehling
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Miller
Poehling
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,033)
50.4% (752)
+5.9%
Power Play
62.5% (253)
37.0% (27)
+25.5%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (175)
45.3% (159)
+2.1%
On power play, Miller has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Miller is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Miller shoots left. Poehling is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Home / Away
Miller
Poehling
Home
58.6% (734)
51.2% (467)
Away
54.1% (727)
47.1% (471)
By Period
Miller
Poehling
P1
57.1%
54.6%
P2
57.0%
46.7%
P3
54.7%
46.7%
OT
62.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
56.1%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
56.3%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2023 | 3 | 04:51 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 3 | 00:38 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 3 | 00:25 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 2 | 18:40 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 2 | 01:07 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 1 | 16:27 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 1 | 13:01 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 1 | 06:03 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 03:04 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 12:11 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |