Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Miller wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.8% vs Poehling 48.1% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 14-10 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 92.9%
Defensive zone
Miller 53.5%
Neutral zone
Miller 73.8%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 76.7%
76.7%
23.3%
Miller
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
10
(24 meetings)
14
10
Miller
Poehling
Last 10: Miller 8-2 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
8
3
Miller
Poehling
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
3
4
Miller
Poehling
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Miller
Poehling
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (6,648)
49.4% (2,726)
+5.8%
Power Play
57.9% (1,285)
51.6% (93)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (913)
41.6% (623)
+6.6%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Miller is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,907).
Miller shoots left. Poehling is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,301).
Home / Away
Miller
Poehling
Home
55.9% (4,578)
49.3% (1,688)
Away
53.8% (4,268)
46.9% (1,754)
By Period
Miller
Poehling
P1
54.7%
50.9%
P2
55.6%
47.0%
P3
54.0%
46.9%
OT
62.3%
37.9%
Final 5 min
55.2%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.9%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 14:10 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 18:41 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 16:10 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 12:38 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 06:51 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 05:12 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 13:51 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 08:29 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 2 | 14:10 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 1 | 05:05 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 3 | 04:51 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 3 | 00:38 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 3 | 00:25 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 2 | 18:40 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 2 | 01:07 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 1 | 16:27 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 1 | 13:01 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 1 | 06:03 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 03:04 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |