Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Miller wins 61.7% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 59.6% vs Poehling 47.4% (+13.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 92.8%
Defensive zone
Poehling 50.9%
Neutral zone
Miller 74.4%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 75.2%
75.2%
24.8%
Miller
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Miller
Poehling
Last 6: Miller 4-2 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
3
0
Miller
Poehling
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Miller
Poehling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Miller
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
61.5% (540)
49.8% (626)
+11.7%
Power Play
65.6% (122)
58.3% (12)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (65)
38.2% (207)
+9.5%
On even strength, Miller has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Miller is 61.7% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Miller shoots left. Poehling is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Miller
Poehling
Home
62.1% (372)
47.3% (404)
Away
59.7% (355)
46.9% (441)
By Period
Miller
Poehling
P1
58.9%
53.5%
P2
63.9%
39.4%
P3
59.8%
49.1%
OT
60.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
63.6%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
60.9%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 14:10 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 18:41 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 16:10 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 12:38 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 06:51 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 05:12 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |