Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Miller wins 62.5% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 59.7% vs Couturier 53.4% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 57.2%
Defensive zone
Couturier 88.1%
Neutral zone
Couturier 71.4%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 80.4%
19.6%
80.4%
Miller
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Miller
Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Couturier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
3
Miller
Couturier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
61.9% (459)
52.6% (624)
+9.3%
Power Play
66.0% (103)
66.7% (66)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (52)
53.2% (188)
-7.0%
On even strength, Miller has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Miller is 62.5% vs left-shot opponents (376).
Miller shoots left. Couturier is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (581).
Home / Away
Miller
Couturier
Home
62.5% (280)
50.7% (424)
Away
60.2% (334)
56.6% (454)
By Period
Miller
Couturier
P1
59.2%
55.5%
P2
65.6%
51.7%
P3
59.1%
55.2%
OT
54.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
63.7%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
66.0%▬
66.5%
61.2%
Couturier
46.0%▼
47.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 04:16 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 15:16 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 13:48 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 13:57 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |