Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Miller wins 61.7% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 59.6% vs Couturier 53.2% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Couturier 51.7%
Defensive zone
Couturier 85.2%
Neutral zone
Couturier 68.5%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 71.8%
28.2%
71.8%
Miller
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Miller
Couturier
Last 10: Miller 4-6 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
3
0
Miller
Couturier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
5
Miller
Couturier
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Miller
Couturier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
61.5% (540)
53.4% (758)
+8.1%
Power Play
65.6% (122)
62.9% (70)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (65)
50.7% (227)
-3.0%
On even strength, Miller has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Miller is 61.7% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Miller shoots left. Couturier is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (680).
Home / Away
Miller
Couturier
Home
62.1% (372)
50.7% (517)
Away
59.7% (355)
56.1% (538)
By Period
Miller
Couturier
P1
58.9%
55.2%
P2
63.9%
53.0%
P3
59.8%
53.3%
OT
60.0%
42.4%
Final 5 min
63.6%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
60.9%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 17:03 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 11:53 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 10:25 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 16:11 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 04:16 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 15:16 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 13:48 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 13:57 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |