Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 31 meetings). Miller wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.8% vs Couturier 52.6% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 51-33 in 84 meetings
Offensive zone
Couturier 53.1%
Defensive zone
Couturier 73.2%
Neutral zone
Couturier 63.9%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 63.8%
36.2%
63.8%
Miller
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
33
-
51
(84 meetings)
33
51
Miller
Couturier
Last 10: Miller 4-6 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
15
12
Miller
Couturier
27 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
7
24
Miller
Couturier
31 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
11
15
Miller
Couturier
26 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (6,648)
52.5% (11,063)
+2.7%
Power Play
57.9% (1,285)
59.7% (1,280)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (913)
48.5% (1,816)
-0.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Miller is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,907).
Miller shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (8,920).
Home / Away
Miller
Couturier
Home
55.9% (4,578)
53.4% (7,147)
Away
53.8% (4,268)
51.8% (7,019)
By Period
Miller
Couturier
P1
54.7%
52.5%
P2
55.6%
52.6%
P3
54.0%
52.9%
OT
62.3%
49.4%
Final 5 min
55.2%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.9%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 17:03 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 11:53 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 10:25 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 16:11 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 04:16 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 15:16 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 13:48 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 13:57 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 14:22 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 11, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 2 | 19:22 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 1 | 13:26 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 1 | 13:19 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 1 | 08:06 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 1 | 02:43 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 3 | 09:13 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |