Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Miller wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 53.8% vs Couturier 54.5% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 53.5%
Defensive zone
Miller 50.2%
Neutral zone
Couturier 55.4%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Miller
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Miller
Couturier
Last 9: Miller 2-7 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
3
Miller
Couturier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
2
3
Miller
Couturier
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Miller
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (933)
57.4% (303)
-1.9%
Power Play
61.6% (73)
65.5% (55)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (227)
40.0% (70)
+5.8%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Miller is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (769).
Miller shoots left. Couturier is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (268).
Home / Away
Miller
Couturier
Home
53.5% (578)
54.3% (219)
Away
54.7% (655)
56.9% (209)
By Period
Miller
Couturier
P1
58.3%
53.2%
P2
53.5%
54.8%
P3
50.1%
57.9%
OT
70.6%
71.4%
Final 5 min
54.9%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.1%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 00:22 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 2 | 17:01 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 1 | 06:48 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 15, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 15, 2021 | 3 | 17:36 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 15, 2021 | 3 | 10:08 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 15, 2021 | 3 | 09:09 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 15, 2021 | 2 | 17:22 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 15, 2021 | 2 | 09:19 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |