Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Miller wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 55.9% vs Couturier 53.2% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Couturier 64.3%
Defensive zone
Couturier 56.7%
Neutral zone
Couturier 68.3%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
Miller
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
12
(20 meetings)
8
12
Miller
Couturier
Last 10: Miller 4-6 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Miller
Couturier
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
2
4
Miller
Couturier
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
2
4
Miller
Couturier
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,033)
53.8% (1,003)
+2.5%
Power Play
62.5% (253)
56.4% (202)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (175)
42.7% (89)
+4.7%
On power play, Miller has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Miller is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Miller shoots left. Couturier is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Home / Away
Miller
Couturier
Home
58.6% (734)
54.4% (680)
Away
54.1% (727)
52.4% (614)
By Period
Miller
Couturier
P1
57.1%
56.3%
P2
57.0%
51.8%
P3
54.7%
52.2%
OT
62.5%
60.9%
Final 5 min
56.1%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
56.3%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2023 | 3 | 09:13 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 2 | 15:33 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 2 | 09:04 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 1 | 18:44 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 1 | 16:40 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 19:08 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 17:50 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 13:49 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 05:56 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 05:16 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 03:26 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 03:16 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 15:54 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 11:15 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 09:13 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 09:07 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 1 | 18:27 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 1 | 07:51 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 1 | 02:10 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |