J.T. Miller vs William Karlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 27 meetings). Miller wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.8% vs Karlsson 51.3% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 38-34 in 72 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 63.4%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 53.1%
Neutral zone
Miller 54.0%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Miller
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
38
-
34
(72 meetings)
38
34
Miller
Karlsson
Last 10: Miller 4-6 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
17
10
Miller
Karlsson
27 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
10
15
Miller
Karlsson
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
11
9
Miller
Karlsson
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (6,648)
51.8% (7,849)
+3.4%
Power Play
57.9% (1,285)
54.8% (1,048)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (913)
44.2% (1,109)
+4.0%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Miller is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,907).
Miller shoots left. Karlsson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,551).
Home / Away
Miller
Karlsson
Home
55.9% (4,578)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
53.8% (4,268)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Miller
Karlsson
P1
54.7%
50.3%
P2
55.6%
51.3%
P3
54.0%
52.4%
OT
62.3%
44.9%
Final 5 min
55.2%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.9%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 16:59 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 16:55 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 11:15 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 8, 2024 | 3 | 12:36 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 8, 2024 | 1 | 10:44 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 12:53 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 10:55 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1 | 17:08 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 19:41 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 10:15 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 09:54 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 05:45 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 14:00 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 10:57 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 07:00 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 07:06 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 06:52 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 03:54 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 18:54 | Defensive | William Karlsson |