Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Miller wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 53.8% vs Karlsson 51.5% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 51.8%
Defensive zone
Miller 53.9%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 50.1%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Miller
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Miller
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Karlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
2
Miller
Karlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (933)
51.4% (735)
+4.1%
Power Play
61.6% (73)
63.5% (115)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (227)
42.9% (133)
+2.9%
On even strength, Miller has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Miller is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (769).
Miller shoots left. Karlsson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Miller
Karlsson
Home
53.5% (578)
52.3% (524)
Away
54.7% (655)
51.0% (459)
By Period
Miller
Karlsson
P1
58.3%
50.7%
P2
53.5%
51.4%
P3
50.1%
53.2%
OT
70.6%
41.2%
Final 5 min
54.9%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.1%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 10:10 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 07:16 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 01:07 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 18:47 | Defensive | William Karlsson |