Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (58.3% vs 58.1%). Miller wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 57.6% vs Karlsson 57.1% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 51.4%
Defensive zone
Miller 52.4%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 51.2%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Miller
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Miller
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Karlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Miller
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (823)
58.6% (597)
-0.4%
Power Play
58.2% (165)
57.9% (57)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
58.9% (90)
51.9% (52)
+7.0%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Miller is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (754).
Miller shoots left. Karlsson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Miller
Karlsson
Home
59.1% (558)
59.6% (344)
Away
57.3% (520)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Miller
Karlsson
P1
60.7%
53.1%
P2
57.5%
62.1%
P3
56.1%
60.1%
OT
73.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
60.8%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
58.3%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 16:59 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 16:55 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 11:15 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |