Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Drury wins 59.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 51.8% vs Hayes 49.5% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 57.1%
Defensive zone
Hayes 54.7%
Neutral zone
Hayes 51.1%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Drury
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Drury
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Drury
Hayes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (114)
48.5% (557)
+5.9%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
53.3% (107)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
58.3% (12)
-58.3%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +58.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Drury is 59.7% vs left-shot opponents (72).
Drury shoots left. Hayes is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Home / Away
Drury
Hayes
Home
50.0% (68)
50.8% (313)
Away
56.9% (58)
48.2% (363)
By Period
Drury
Hayes
P1
39.5%
52.3%
P2
57.1%
47.7%
P3
60.4%
48.4%
Final 5 min
59.5%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
53.2%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 05:50 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 02:43 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |