Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Drury wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.0% vs Hayes 47.7% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 69.8%
Defensive zone
Hayes 75.9%
Neutral zone
Hayes 74.6%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 74.4%
25.6%
74.4%
Drury
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
11
(18 meetings)
7
11
Drury
Hayes
Last 10: Drury 3-7 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
2
Drury
Hayes
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
7
Drury
Hayes
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
5
2
Drury
Hayes
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (1,975)
47.5% (6,708)
+10.5%
Power Play
58.5% (118)
51.7% (702)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
45.3% (697)
+6.8%
On even strength, Drury has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Drury is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,565).
Drury shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Home / Away
Drury
Hayes
Home
58.3% (1,212)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
56.3% (1,173)
47.3% (4,125)
By Period
Drury
Hayes
P1
56.0%
47.5%
P2
58.6%
47.6%
P3
57.0%
47.9%
OT
62.5%
54.1%
Final 5 min
53.7%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
57.3%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 15:02 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 10:16 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 18:00 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 2 | 11:42 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 2 | 11:40 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 2 | 04:15 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 11:38 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 04:37 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 04:29 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 04:23 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 10:00 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 09:50 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 05:19 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 05:12 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 13:17 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 04:08 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 05:50 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 02:43 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |