Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Drury wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 54.6% vs Hayes 56.3% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Drury 65.2%
Defensive zone
Hayes 63.7%
Neutral zone
Hayes 50.9%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Drury
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Drury
Hayes
Last 10: Drury 4-6 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Hayes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
4
Drury
Hayes
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Drury
Hayes
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (590)
56.6% (724)
-1.9%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
57.0% (79)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (21)
65.7% (35)
+5.7%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Drury is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (437).
Drury shoots left. Hayes is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Home / Away
Drury
Hayes
Home
56.7% (358)
58.0% (405)
Away
53.6% (306)
56.1% (433)
By Period
Drury
Hayes
P1
57.3%
54.7%
P2
57.6%
55.7%
P3
51.1%
60.2%
Final 5 min
53.4%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
55.3%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 11:38 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 04:37 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 04:29 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 04:23 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 10:00 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 09:50 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 05:19 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 05:12 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 13:17 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 04:08 | Neutral | Jack Drury |