Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Drury wins 63.5% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.7% vs Kastelic 58.3% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 67.4%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 58.5%
Neutral zone
Drury 58.0%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Drury
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Drury
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Drury
Kastelic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
61.2% (667)
61.2% (340)
+0.0%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
83.3% (6)
-43.3%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (157)
56.0% (141)
-7.0%
On power play, Kastelic has a +43.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Drury is 63.5% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Drury shoots left. Kastelic is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Drury
Kastelic
Home
59.2% (407)
60.9% (233)
Away
58.1% (427)
59.1% (254)
By Period
Drury
Kastelic
P1
59.0%
58.6%
P2
57.7%
58.7%
P3
59.1%
63.1%
OT
60.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
50.7%
67.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
58.6%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
60.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 09:22 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 03:27 | Defensive | Jack Drury |