Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.3% vs 54.4%). Look for Drury on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Drury wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 54.6% vs Kastelic 53.5% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 52.3%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 73.9%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 51.5%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Drury
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Drury
Kastelic
Last 5: Drury 2-3 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
2
1
Drury
Kastelic
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
2
Drury
Kastelic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (590)
53.4% (337)
+1.3%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
100.0% (4)
-45.3%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (21)
75.0% (8)
-3.6%
On power play, Kastelic has a +45.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Drury is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Drury shoots left. Kastelic is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Drury
Kastelic
Home
56.7% (358)
56.2% (162)
Away
53.6% (306)
52.9% (187)
By Period
Drury
Kastelic
P1
57.3%
58.2%
P2
57.6%
58.8%
P3
51.1%
45.4%
Final 5 min
53.4%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
55.3%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 03:04 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 02:55 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 16:33 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 14:07 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 07:21 | Offensive | Jack Drury |