Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Drury wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 56.9% vs Kastelic 53.4% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 59.8%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 71.0%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 65.1%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Drury
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Drury
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
1
Drury
Kastelic
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Drury
Kastelic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (592)
55.4% (345)
+2.5%
Power Play
67.4% (46)
50.0% (4)
+17.4%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (108)
35.3% (17)
+17.5%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Drury is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Drury shoots left. Kastelic is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Drury
Kastelic
Home
59.3% (364)
50.6% (162)
Away
56.3% (382)
57.4% (204)
By Period
Drury
Kastelic
P1
53.9%
61.5%
P2
60.5%
52.8%
P3
58.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
57.8%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 19:10 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 13:52 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 04:07 | Defensive | Jack Drury |