Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.3% vs 56.9%). Drury wins 58.5% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.0% vs Kastelic 56.5% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Kastelic leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Drury 72.8%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 81.1%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 52.1%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Drury
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Drury
Kastelic
Last 10: Drury 4-6 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Drury
Kastelic
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Drury
Kastelic
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
2
Drury
Kastelic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (1,975)
57.0% (1,613)
+1.0%
Power Play
58.5% (118)
80.0% (25)
-21.5%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
53.6% (274)
-1.5%
On power play, Kastelic has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Drury is 58.5% vs right-shot opponents (819).
Drury shoots left. Kastelic is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,420).
Home / Away
Drury
Kastelic
Home
58.3% (1,212)
58.9% (895)
Away
56.3% (1,173)
55.1% (1,017)
By Period
Drury
Kastelic
P1
56.0%
58.5%
P2
58.6%
56.9%
P3
57.0%
55.3%
OT
62.5%
53.8%
Final 5 min
53.7%
59.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
57.3%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 09:22 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 03:27 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 19:10 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 13:52 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 04:07 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 03:04 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 02:55 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 16:33 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 14:07 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 07:21 | Offensive | Jack Drury |