Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Drury wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 54.6% vs Roy 47.2% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 91.5%
Defensive zone
Drury 53.1%
Neutral zone
Drury 85.2%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 70.7%
70.7%
29.3%
Drury
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Drury
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Drury
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (590)
47.5% (617)
+7.2%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
39.6% (53)
+15.1%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (21)
46.4% (97)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Drury is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Drury shoots left. Roy is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Drury
Roy
Home
56.7% (358)
47.2% (398)
Away
53.6% (306)
46.3% (369)
By Period
Drury
Roy
P1
57.3%
48.6%
P2
57.6%
48.8%
P3
51.1%
43.9%
Final 5 min
53.4%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
55.3%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 10:53 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 01:21 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 09:38 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 07:02 | Offensive | Jack Drury |