Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Drury wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 56.9% vs Roy 47.9% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 71.7%
Defensive zone
Drury 66.0%
Neutral zone
Drury 65.5%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 67.0%
67.0%
33.0%
Drury
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Drury
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
2
1
Drury
Roy
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Drury
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (592)
48.6% (679)
+9.3%
Power Play
67.4% (46)
48.0% (50)
+19.4%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (108)
34.7% (49)
+18.1%
On power play, Drury has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Drury is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Drury shoots left. Roy is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Drury
Roy
Home
59.3% (364)
49.3% (345)
Away
56.3% (382)
46.4% (433)
By Period
Drury
Roy
P1
53.9%
47.6%
P2
60.5%
47.1%
P3
58.3%
47.9%
OT
66.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
57.8%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2025 | 3 | 18:16 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 1 | 08:26 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 1 | 02:04 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 2 | 14:18 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |