Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Drury wins 58.5% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.0% vs Roy 48.4% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Drury leads 13-4 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Drury 95.4%
Defensive zone
Drury 80.6%
Neutral zone
Drury 94.4%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 88.1%
88.1%
11.9%
Drury
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
4
(17 meetings)
13
4
Drury
Roy
Last 10: Drury 8-2 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
3
0
Drury
Roy
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
5
3
Drury
Roy
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
5
1
Drury
Roy
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (1,975)
48.7% (3,719)
+9.3%
Power Play
58.5% (118)
49.5% (283)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
45.5% (477)
+6.6%
On even strength, Drury has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Drury is 58.5% vs right-shot opponents (819).
Drury shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Home / Away
Drury
Roy
Home
58.3% (1,212)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
56.3% (1,173)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Drury
Roy
P1
56.0%
50.8%
P2
58.6%
46.3%
P3
57.0%
48.1%
OT
62.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
57.3%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | 3 | 17:41 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 3 | 01:42 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 05:13 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 05:06 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 01:57 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 02:12 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 02:05 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 18:43 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 3 | 18:16 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 1 | 08:26 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 1 | 02:04 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 2 | 14:18 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 10:53 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 01:21 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 09:38 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 07:02 | Offensive | Jack Drury |