Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Drury wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 54.6% vs Thomas 52.9% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 59.9%
Defensive zone
Thomas 58.2%
Neutral zone
Drury 56.4%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Drury
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Drury
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Drury
Thomas
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (590)
53.2% (1,166)
+1.5%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
56.9% (262)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (21)
48.4% (221)
+23.0%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Drury is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Drury shoots left. Thomas is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Home / Away
Drury
Thomas
Home
56.7% (358)
51.6% (830)
Away
53.6% (306)
54.7% (819)
By Period
Drury
Thomas
P1
57.3%
52.7%
P2
57.6%
55.6%
P3
51.1%
50.6%
Final 5 min
53.4%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
68.0%▲
63.5%
55.3%
Thomas
36.0%▼
50.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2024 | 3 | 17:42 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 17:22 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 13:15 | Offensive | Jack Drury |