Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Drury wins 58.5% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.0% vs Thomas 51.6% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 64.9%
Defensive zone
Thomas 53.9%
Neutral zone
Thomas 57.5%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Drury
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Drury
Thomas
Last 10: Drury 4-6 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
7
Drury
Thomas
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
4
0
Drury
Thomas
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
2
1
Drury
Thomas
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (1,975)
51.1% (5,350)
+6.9%
Power Play
58.5% (118)
55.8% (921)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
49.9% (691)
+2.2%
On even strength, Drury has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Drury is 58.5% vs right-shot opponents (819).
Drury shoots left. Thomas is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,919).
Home / Away
Drury
Thomas
Home
58.3% (1,212)
50.9% (3,458)
Away
56.3% (1,173)
52.3% (3,504)
By Period
Drury
Thomas
P1
56.0%
50.6%
P2
58.6%
52.9%
P3
57.0%
50.8%
OT
62.5%
59.2%
Final 5 min
53.7%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
57.3%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 10:02 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 13:49 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 00:31 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 10:26 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 05:57 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 08:59 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 05:37 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 14:03 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 3 | 13:29 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 3 | 13:21 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 2 | 14:40 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 08:57 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 13:22 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 3 | 17:42 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 17:22 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 13:15 | Offensive | Jack Drury |