Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Drury wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 56.9% vs Thomas 54.5% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 55.2%
Defensive zone
Drury 58.5%
Neutral zone
Thomas 50.2%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Drury
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Drury
Thomas
Last 10: Drury 4-6 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
5
Drury
Thomas
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
4
0
Drury
Thomas
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Drury
Thomas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (592)
55.3% (990)
+2.6%
Power Play
67.4% (46)
54.2% (190)
+13.2%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (108)
52.5% (158)
+0.3%
On power play, Drury has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Drury is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Drury shoots left. Thomas is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (994).
Home / Away
Drury
Thomas
Home
59.3% (364)
55.1% (690)
Away
56.3% (382)
54.5% (648)
By Period
Drury
Thomas
P1
53.9%
55.5%
P2
60.5%
56.4%
P3
58.3%
51.5%
OT
66.7%
69.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
68.0%▲
63.5%
57.8%
Thomas
36.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 13:49 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 00:31 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 10:26 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 05:57 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 08:59 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 05:37 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 14:03 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 3 | 13:29 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 3 | 13:21 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 2 | 14:40 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 08:57 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 13:22 | Defensive | Jack Drury |