Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Drury wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.0% vs Lorentz 48.6% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 59.8%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 60.7%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 57.2%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Drury
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Drury
Lorentz
Last 7: Drury 3-4 Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Lorentz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lorentz
0
2
Drury
Lorentz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Drury
Lorentz
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (1,975)
48.9% (1,118)
+9.1%
Power Play
58.5% (118)
50.0% (26)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
41.9% (86)
+10.2%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Drury is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,565).
Drury shoots left. Lorentz is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Drury
Lorentz
Home
58.3% (1,212)
50.8% (606)
Away
56.3% (1,173)
46.2% (624)
By Period
Drury
Lorentz
P1
56.0%
53.0%
P2
58.6%
46.8%
P3
57.0%
46.1%
OT
62.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
57.3%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 02:12 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 02:07 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 08:55 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 05:35 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 01:51 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 16:03 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 09:47 | Neutral | Jack Drury |