Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Drury wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.7% vs Lorentz 50.0% (+8.6%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 51.8%
Defensive zone
Drury 57.9%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 51.7%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Drury
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
61.2% (667)
52.2% (67)
+9.0%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
50.0% (2)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (157)
42.9% (21)
+6.1%
On power play, Lorentz has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Drury is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (515).
Drury shoots left. Lorentz is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (55).
Home / Away
Drury
Lorentz
Home
59.2% (407)
55.4% (65)
Away
58.1% (427)
36.0% (25)
By Period
Drury
Lorentz
P1
59.0%
59.3%
P2
57.7%
47.1%
P3
59.1%
44.8%
Final 5 min
50.7%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
58.6%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%