Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +21.4% FO% edge overall. Drury wins 58.9% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 56.9% vs Lorentz 46.6% (+21.4%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 50.1%
Defensive zone
Drury 52.5%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 50.3%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Drury
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (592)
30.8% (26)
+27.1%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (108)
57.1% (7)
-4.3%
On even strength, Drury has a +27.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Drury is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Drury shoots left. Lorentz is 36.8% vs left-shot opponents (19).
Home / Away
Drury
Lorentz
Home
59.3% (364)
35.0% (20)
Away
56.3% (382)
38.5% (13)
By Period
Drury
Lorentz
P1
53.9%
38.5%
P2
60.5%
37.5%
P3
58.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
57.8%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
36.4%