Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Drury wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 54.6% vs Lorentz 49.4% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 57.7%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 68.1%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 57.2%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Drury
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Drury
Lorentz
Last 7: Drury 3-4 Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Lorentz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lorentz
0
2
Drury
Lorentz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Drury
Lorentz
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (590)
48.9% (135)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (21)
50.0% (4)
+21.4%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Drury is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (437).
Drury shoots left. Lorentz is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (97).
Home / Away
Drury
Lorentz
Home
56.7% (358)
50.7% (75)
Away
53.6% (306)
46.9% (64)
By Period
Drury
Lorentz
P1
57.3%
60.0%
P2
57.6%
46.3%
P3
51.1%
44.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
55.3%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 02:12 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 02:07 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 08:55 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 05:35 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 01:51 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 16:03 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 09:47 | Neutral | Jack Drury |