Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +27.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 53.9% vs Hertl 52.3% (+27.5%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 51.3%
Defensive zone
Hertl 57.3%
Neutral zone
Hertl 65.4%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Drury
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
75.0% (12)
51.6% (1,084)
+23.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (3)
44.1% (136)
+55.9%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +55.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Drury is 81.8% vs left-shot opponents (11).
Drury shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Home / Away
Drury
Hertl
Home
80.0% (15)
55.2% (696)
Away
0.0% (0)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Drury
Hertl
P1
75.0%
55.4%
P2
71.4%
54.8%
P3
100.0%
48.9%
Final 5 min
100.0%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
80.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%