Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Drury wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 54.6% vs Novak 43.5% (+13.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 87.2%
Defensive zone
Drury 94.5%
Neutral zone
Drury 94.3%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 94.3%
94.3%
5.7%
Drury
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Drury
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
4
0
Drury
Novak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (590)
40.7% (460)
+14.0%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
61.5% (39)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (21)
0.0% (1)
+71.4%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +71.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Drury is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (437).
Drury shoots left. Novak is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Drury
Novak
Home
56.7% (358)
47.0% (236)
Away
53.6% (306)
37.9% (264)
By Period
Drury
Novak
P1
57.3%
43.1%
P2
57.6%
43.1%
P3
51.1%
40.1%
Final 5 min
53.4%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
60.0%▲
57.0%
55.3%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.5%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 18:16 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 18:01 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 11:47 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 16:43 | Neutral | Jack Drury |