Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Drury wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.0% vs Novak 43.0% (+14.7%)
H2H factor
Drury leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Drury 82.5%
Defensive zone
Drury 98.0%
Neutral zone
Drury 96.3%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 92.3%
92.3%
7.7%
Drury
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
1
(10 meetings)
9
1
Drury
Novak
Last 10: Drury 9-1 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
2
1
Drury
Novak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Novak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
6
0
Drury
Novak
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (2,010)
41.8% (1,568)
+16.1%
Power Play
58.5% (118)
51.5% (134)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (300)
50.0% (2)
+3.0%
On even strength, Drury has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Drury is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,586).
Drury shoots left. Novak is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,093).
Home / Away
Drury
Novak
Home
57.9% (1,234)
45.1% (831)
Away
56.7% (1,194)
40.2% (873)
By Period
Drury
Novak
P1
55.9%
43.7%
P2
58.7%
42.8%
P3
57.1%
41.1%
OT
62.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
53.9%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
60.0%▲
57.0%
57.3%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 09:49 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 3 | 01:52 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 3 | 01:44 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 1 | 14:21 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 1 | 08:06 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 18:16 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 18:01 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 11:47 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 16:43 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 07:13 | Neutral | Jack Drury |