Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +17.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Drury wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.7% vs Novak 42.5% (+17.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 64.7%
Defensive zone
Drury 96.9%
Neutral zone
Drury 94.4%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 77.1%
77.1%
22.9%
Drury
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Drury
Novak
Last 5: Drury 4-1 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
2
1
Drury
Novak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Novak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
60.7% (702)
40.4% (408)
+20.3%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
45.5% (33)
-5.5%
On even strength, Drury has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Drury is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (536).
Drury shoots left. Novak is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Drury
Novak
Home
58.0% (429)
42.0% (212)
Away
59.2% (448)
39.7% (229)
By Period
Drury
Novak
P1
58.6%
41.9%
P2
57.9%
39.3%
P3
59.2%
42.1%
OT
60.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
60.0%▲
57.0%
58.6%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.5%
40.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 09:49 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 3 | 01:52 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 3 | 01:44 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 1 | 14:21 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 1 | 08:06 | Offensive | Jack Drury |