Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.3% vs 56.2%). Look for Karlsson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Drury wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 54.6% vs Karlsson 55.6% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Drury 55.3%
Defensive zone
Drury 50.5%
Neutral zone
Drury 59.4%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Drury
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Drury
Karlsson
Last 10: Drury 3-7 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
2
Drury
Karlsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
2
4
Drury
Karlsson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Drury
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (590)
56.3% (739)
-1.6%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
58.6% (181)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (21)
47.2% (53)
+24.2%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +24.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Drury is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (437).
Drury shoots left. Karlsson is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Drury
Karlsson
Home
56.7% (358)
56.5% (462)
Away
53.6% (306)
56.0% (511)
By Period
Drury
Karlsson
P1
57.3%
57.1%
P2
57.6%
55.2%
P3
51.1%
56.7%
Final 5 min
53.4%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
55.3%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 14:44 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 10:59 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 17:23 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 03:41 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 03:29 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 18:10 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 13:59 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 12:26 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Drury |