Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Drury wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.0% vs Karlsson 51.3% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 14-11 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Karlsson 59.2%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 60.0%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 61.1%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 60.1%
39.9%
60.1%
Drury
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
14
(25 meetings)
11
14
Drury
Karlsson
Last 10: Drury 4-6 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
4
2
Drury
Karlsson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
5
7
Drury
Karlsson
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
2
5
Drury
Karlsson
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (1,975)
51.8% (7,849)
+6.2%
Power Play
58.5% (118)
54.8% (1,048)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
44.2% (1,109)
+7.9%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Drury is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,565).
Drury shoots left. Karlsson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,551).
Home / Away
Drury
Karlsson
Home
58.3% (1,212)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
56.3% (1,173)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Drury
Karlsson
P1
56.0%
50.3%
P2
58.6%
51.3%
P3
57.0%
52.4%
OT
62.5%
44.9%
Final 5 min
53.7%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
57.3%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 14:31 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 12:01 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 2 | 13:51 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 1 | 04:45 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 1 | 01:37 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 3 | 12:13 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 2 | 11:57 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 2 | 02:35 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 2 | 03:38 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 14:44 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 10:59 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 17:23 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 03:41 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 03:29 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 18:10 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 13:59 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 12:26 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Drury |