Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.8% vs 58.1%). Look for Drury on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Drury wins 58.9% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 56.9% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Drury leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Karlsson 68.2%
Defensive zone
Drury 67.4%
Neutral zone
Drury 51.0%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Drury
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Drury
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
2
0
Drury
Karlsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
3
1
Drury
Karlsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
3
Drury
Karlsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (592)
58.6% (597)
-0.7%
Power Play
67.4% (46)
57.9% (57)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (108)
51.9% (52)
+0.9%
On power play, Drury has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Drury is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Drury shoots left. Karlsson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Drury
Karlsson
Home
59.3% (364)
59.6% (344)
Away
56.3% (382)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Drury
Karlsson
P1
53.9%
53.1%
P2
60.5%
62.1%
P3
58.3%
60.1%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.6%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
57.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2025 | 3 | 12:13 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 2 | 11:57 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 2 | 02:35 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 2 | 03:38 | Neutral | William Karlsson |