Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Eichel 45.8% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 91.1%
Defensive zone
Larkin 80.0%
Neutral zone
Larkin 80.6%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 83.4%
83.4%
16.6%
Larkin
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Larkin
Eichel
Last 7: Larkin 6-1 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Eichel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Eichel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
1
Larkin
Eichel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
45.5% (708)
+8.1%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
51.9% (54)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
29.0% (31)
+19.7%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Larkin is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Larkin shoots left. Eichel is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (591).
Home / Away
Larkin
Eichel
Home
56.6% (700)
46.1% (388)
Away
52.1% (655)
44.4% (405)
By Period
Larkin
Eichel
P1
55.4%
46.8%
P2
54.7%
43.4%
P3
52.7%
45.4%
OT
59.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 19:17 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 19:23 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 00:20 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 04:04 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 09:55 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 07:16 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 00:48 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |