Scouting Report
Jack Eichel holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Eichel wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 48.9% vs Hayes 43.8% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 50.8%
Defensive zone
Hayes 61.3%
Neutral zone
Hayes 53.1%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Eichel
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Eichel
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
0
Eichel
Hayes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Eichel
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (317)
42.7% (478)
+3.7%
Power Play
59.6% (57)
42.9% (98)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
45.2% (31)
+14.8%
On power play, Eichel has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Eichel is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (283).
Eichel shoots right. Hayes is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (219).
Home / Away
Eichel
Hayes
Home
46.2% (169)
43.5% (232)
Away
50.5% (210)
42.4% (375)
By Period
Eichel
Hayes
P1
39.8%
40.1%
P2
49.6%
44.8%
P3
56.2%
42.4%
OT
28.6%
80.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
48.5%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 18:15 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 19:14 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |