Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Eichel wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.9% vs Hayes 56.3% (-11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 53.1%
Defensive zone
Eichel 53.4%
Neutral zone
Eichel 54.8%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Eichel
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Eichel
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eichel
Hayes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
2
Eichel
Hayes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (730)
56.6% (724)
-10.2%
Power Play
40.3% (62)
57.0% (79)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (116)
65.7% (35)
-23.5%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Eichel is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (722).
Eichel shoots right. Hayes is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Eichel
Hayes
Home
44.0% (457)
58.0% (405)
Away
47.0% (451)
56.1% (433)
By Period
Eichel
Hayes
P1
45.1%
54.7%
P2
46.5%
55.7%
P3
45.3%
60.2%
OT
28.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.9%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.5%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2023 | 1 | 04:56 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 18:15 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 07:57 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 04:50 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |