Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Eichel wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.9% vs Hayes 51.7% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 61.1%
Defensive zone
Hayes 51.4%
Neutral zone
Hayes 61.9%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Eichel
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Eichel
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Eichel
Hayes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
2
0
Eichel
Hayes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (1,044)
51.6% (386)
-5.7%
Power Play
55.9% (59)
53.2% (47)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
39.7% (151)
60.0% (20)
-20.3%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Eichel is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (913).
Eichel shoots right. Hayes is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Home / Away
Eichel
Hayes
Home
46.5% (606)
50.5% (200)
Away
44.8% (648)
53.4% (253)
By Period
Eichel
Hayes
P1
47.2%
58.8%
P2
46.9%
49.3%
P3
42.7%
48.0%
OT
42.9%
66.7%
Final 5 min
41.4%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.6%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:47 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:04 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 16:57 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |