Scouting Report
Jack Eichel holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Carlsson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Eichel wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.9% vs Carlsson 37.1% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 67.5%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 68.4%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 69.6%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 68.8%
31.2%
68.8%
Eichel
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Eichel
Carlsson
Last 6: Eichel 2-4 Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
0
Eichel
Carlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
0
2
Eichel
Carlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
1
2
Eichel
Carlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (730)
34.4% (535)
+12.0%
Power Play
40.3% (62)
42.9% (21)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (116)
40.0% (5)
+2.2%
On even strength, Eichel has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Eichel is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (722).
Eichel shoots right. Carlsson is 33.5% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Home / Away
Eichel
Carlsson
Home
44.0% (457)
38.6% (254)
Away
47.0% (451)
31.6% (307)
By Period
Eichel
Carlsson
P1
45.1%
35.9%
P2
46.5%
33.8%
P3
45.3%
34.3%
OT
28.6%
44.4%
Final 5 min
41.9%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.5%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
34.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2024 | 3 | 15:29 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 2 | 13:26 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 2 | 08:38 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |