Scouting Report
Jack Eichel holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Carlsson on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 48.1% vs Carlsson 45.0% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Carlsson leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Carlsson 71.5%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 69.3%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 70.8%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 70.1%
29.9%
70.1%
Eichel
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Eichel
Carlsson
Last 10: Eichel 3-7 Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
0
Eichel
Carlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
2
5
Eichel
Carlsson
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
1
5
Eichel
Carlsson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (858)
45.5% (661)
+2.2%
Power Play
55.6% (63)
46.3% (82)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (87)
33.3% (84)
+11.5%
On penalty kill, Eichel has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Eichel is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (700).
Eichel shoots right. Carlsson is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (287).
Home / Away
Eichel
Carlsson
Home
47.7% (509)
42.5% (428)
Away
48.1% (499)
46.4% (399)
By Period
Eichel
Carlsson
P1
49.5%
45.4%
P2
48.5%
39.7%
P3
46.8%
48.5%
OT
37.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
52.8%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
47.9%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 10:20 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 03:38 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 16:18 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 13:50 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 18:42 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 18:30 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 8, 2025 | OT | 04:16 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 8, 2025 | OT | 02:33 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 8, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:34 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:26 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 08:48 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 00:25 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |