Scouting Report
Jack Eichel holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Carlsson on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Eichel wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.1% vs Carlsson 41.2% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Carlsson leads 14-8 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Carlsson 77.4%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 73.5%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 73.5%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 74.0%
26.0%
74.0%
Eichel
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
14
(22 meetings)
8
14
Eichel
Carlsson
Last 10: Eichel 3-7 Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
3
0
Eichel
Carlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
2
7
Eichel
Carlsson
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
3
7
Eichel
Carlsson
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (8,462)
41.0% (1,844)
+3.7%
Power Play
52.8% (925)
42.9% (154)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (540)
35.0% (120)
+3.3%
On power play, Eichel has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Eichel is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (7,018).
Eichel shoots right. Carlsson is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (639).
Home / Away
Eichel
Carlsson
Home
45.7% (4,899)
42.2% (1,044)
Away
44.5% (5,028)
39.4% (1,074)
By Period
Eichel
Carlsson
P1
45.4%
43.3%
P2
45.8%
36.5%
P3
44.2%
43.2%
OT
44.2%
40.7%
Final 5 min
45.9%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.1%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
40.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 10:20 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 03:38 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 16:18 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 13:50 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 18:42 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 18:30 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 8, 2025 | OT | 04:16 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 8, 2025 | OT | 02:33 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 8, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:34 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:26 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 08:48 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 00:25 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 15:40 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 12:15 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 3 | 15:29 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 2 | 13:26 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 2 | 08:38 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |